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August 18, 2007

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Paul

I wouldn't worry about Bush's useless posturing on Iran. In the off chance that his ineptitude is so utterly complete that he accidentally gets himself into a war with Iran- Armenia has good relations with both Iran and America. Despite being a neighbor, the sealed borders with Nakhichevan and Azerbaijan result in just a mere 29 mi or perhaps even smaller open border with Iran. On top of that, thanks to the closed borders the quickest route to Yerevan from Iran is 10 hours through the insanely windy Selim pass. There's no real reason for Armenia to be affected militarily (nor by a flood of refugees either, seeing as there's such a small border and once across it there's quite a formidable trek between them and you). Of course, Iran being one of Armenia's two outlets to the world would be jeopardized by US action with disarray in that country, however being as far as it is most of the substantial trade is still done through Georgia. An attack on Iran is certainly a stupid move, but I don't think the effects on Armenia would be too drastic and it's not likely to be brought into things.

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